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Battery cost based on Power Pack 2 price: $437 per kWh

Giga factory:

sources: https://www.tesla.com/gigafactory, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gigafactory_1, https://insideevs.com/elon-musk-says-gigafactory-output-could-soar-to-150-gwh-annually/
construction began June 2014, estimated completion 2020
estimated cost $5 billion, shared with Panasonic ($1.6 billion originally, upped to ~$3 billion)
Tesla spent $608 million by September 2016
started making powerwalls and powerpack in Q1 2016
planned capacity 50 GW in 2018, 150 GW in 2020, half for car batteries, enabling ~1 million cars / year (assuming average 70kw battery per car)

Factories from others:

SK Innovations (provides Kia Soul EV, some cars made in China, will supply Mercedes), increasing production capacity to 4 GW/year by end of 2018 (capacity on March 2016 is 1.9) https://electrek.co/2017/03/06/sk-innovation-expanding-battery/
CATLS (supplies NEVS), plans 50 GW by 2020 https://electrek.co/2017/03/01/chinese-battery-maker-catl-nevs-gigafactory/

Predictions:

Panasonic predicts 3 million cars / year in 2026
Total world battery production 174 GW by 2020. China: 108 GW, US: 38GW, Korea: 23GW, Poland: 5GW (https://electrek.co/2017/03/01/chinese-battery-maker-catl-nevs-gigafactory/)

Other car makers EV plans:

Misc numbers:

Written on Jan 30 2018.

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